This year’s Brownlow medal count will likely go down to the wire and it appears to be down to a three man race, at least according to SportsBet, but there a few sneaky contenders that could jump right in the thick of it.
Richmond’s Trent Cotchin and Gold Coast’s Gary Ablett are the two odds on favourites to win with both coming in at a $4.25 chance.
Cotchin’s rise to superstardom has been quick. The former No.2 overall pick in 2007 has improved his game in each of his five seasons with the 22-year-old averaging 27.6 disposals per game in 2012, up from his previous best 24.1 in 2011.
Ablett posted another ridiculous season, but his best efforts of carrying the Gold Coast resulted in just three wins for the second year club. His 33 possession per contest this season was a herculean effort and on most days he still lookslike the competition’s best player. Another Brownlow would likely ease some of the pain he is likely feeling knowing that he’ll be donning the ghastly orange of those Suns' jerseys for at least the next three years.
Also in the race is Jobe Watson. He might be flanked by a bunch of hacks, but he is coming off his first All-Australian appearance and put together his most consistent season to date. Watson single handily carried his Bombers on a number of occasions and won more than a couple of games off his own boot. Like Ablett, the lack of wins will hurt his chances.
Adelaide boasts a couple of guys that could also be in the running. Scott Thompson and Patrick Dangerfield were big reasons why the Crows experienced such a turnaround in 2012 after a horrid season the year before. Thompson’s 29.5 touches per game had him fifth in the competition in that category while Dangerfield’s exciting style of play could put him in with a chance.
Someone like a Joel Selwood or a Dayne Beams could also slide in and take the cake, but the real dark horse is Josh Kennedy. Kennedy’s story is somewhat overlooked. Neglected at Hawthorn early on in his career, Kennedy came to Sydney in 2010 and immediately banged out two seasons averaging 20 then 22 possessions per game. He went next level this year (28.4 with a goal a game) and has been influential in Sydney’s journey into their first Grand Final since 2006.
So those are the worthy contenders for tomorrow night’s medal count. May the best man win.
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