Don't make the mistake of reaching for these guys come draft day this March.
Let's start with Mike Trout….
For reals, here we go…
Alex Rios – White Sox
The guy is more inconsistent than a French Big Mac. Don't know what I mean by that? Me neither. But here are the stats: He's had seasons of .284/21/88 – .227/13/44 – .304/25/91…. something's got to give. He's 'unlucky' during odd years. It's 2013. He's only a career .278 hitter. I'm not paying $25 for him. 'Nuff said.
Juan Pierre – Marlins
With one awful year in Chi-town the year previous, Pierre found a home with the Phillies last year where he was startable, hitting .307 with 37 stolen bags in about a half of a season. However, don't pay for last year's stats. Pierre is now 35-years-old and on a flailing Marlins team this season. He's not worth anything more than a last round pick.
Rajai Davis – Blue Jays
Don't over pay for a guy that will hit no better than .260 and struggle to find playing time. With Jose Bautista, Edwin Encarnacion, Melky Cabrera and Colby Rasmus all on board, Davis will be nothing more than a spot starter. He shouldn't be any more than that on your team either.
Curtis Granderson – Yankees
The Grandy Man is elite. He has power; he has moxy; he has sexy….wait, I'm thinking of Kate Upton again. Sorry. Back on track — Granderson is a stud, but don't over pay for him.
He'll give you 35+ home runs, but his strikeout rate has increased more than 10 percent since 2008 and he's only hit .247 since 2009. If you want someone to kill your batting average, he's your guy. With a batting average that continues to swirl downward, he's terribly close to becoming the outfield version of Adam Dunn. Not to mention, Yankees skip Joe Girardi has already mentioned during spring training that the Bronx Bombers won't have as much power this year and will have to score more runs in other ways — meaning it wouldn't shock me to see the Yanks play more small ball and swing for the fences less; something that could help Grandy's steals total but hurt his home run count.
Carlos Quentin – Padres
Fool me once, shame on you. Fool me twice, shame on me. Fool me three times, I'm forced to play fantasy soccer. Don't ever count on Quentin being healthy. He's the biggest injury risk out there, having not played a full season since Leonardo DiCaprio sank with the Titanic. Buy low on a young stud instead.
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